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IBIBKR

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 17% YoY at strong marginsRecent insider buyingQuiet on X (78 mentions/wk)
$IBKR·$152B·Investment - Banking & Investment Services·Financial Services
$97.29+1.5%YTD+35.5%1Y+52.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 7 posts2026-08-23: 13 posts2026-08-24: 13 posts78+10%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
IBIBKR
$IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.
$97.29+1.51%78 posts+10%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $IBKR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

The compounder even Peterffy said would grow 30% forever — the tape is now paying for it.

Interactive Brokers is a global electronic broker with a durable wide-moat platform serving active traders and institutional customers. Shares are +36% YTD and +53% TTM at $96.

  • Revenue and EPS are compounding: quarterly revenue ran $2.47B / $2.70B / $2.75B / $2.70B, quarterly EPS moved $0.51 / $0.59 / $0.64 / $0.60 — analysts model $7.49B and $2.72 EPS for the full year, so at $96 the stock is at roughly 35x forward, a full multiple that the platform-quality supports.
  • The Peterffy '30% growth as long as I shall live' framing is real: IBKR is up 35% since founder Thomas Peterffy made that statement, and contributors keep flagging the wide moat (switching costs, scale advantage, pricing power, two-sided network) — that's the shape of a quality compounder finally getting the multiple it deserves.
  • The dilution risk is being flagged: a $86.26 424B5 and an S-3ASR shelf registration are technical dilution vehicles, not confirmed dilution — but they're worth monitoring as the equity trades higher; short-term shareholders are not being explicitly diluted yet.

An Oct 20 Q3 print that shows commissions revenue growth, net interest income holding, and account-growth continuing extends the run; a soft trading-volume quarter (the 'What Happens When It Cools?' concern), a Fed pivot that compresses NIM, or a large shelf drawdown is what caps the tape.

Agrees with X sentimentX's bullish framing is well-anchored — the Peterffy quote, the wide-moat framing, and the 35% YTD move are all real; the TWS UX meme jab is the honest cosmetic-scale complaint, not a fundamental case.

What to watch: The Oct 20 Q3 print — commissions revenue, net interest income, account growth, and any commentary on trading-volume trends. A Fed pivot or a shelf drawdown is what caps the tape.

On the calendar: 2026-10-20 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment9 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Chatter is bullish across a thin nine-post window: Interactive Brokers is called out flashing IBD 'buy signals' alongside Robinhood into Nvidia earnings, and price hits fresh all-time highs. A long-form thesis frames it as an 'incredible business' with 'massive switching costs' and operating leverage still to unlock, citing Peterffy's pledge to keep growing 30% 'As long as I shall live'. Dissent is limited to jokes about the TWS platform.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $IBKR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Automated electronic broker executing trades across stocks, options, futures, FX, and crypto for retail and institutional clients globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Investment - Banking & Investment Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $IBKR.

Investment - Banking & Investment Services · Financial Services

Capital markets activity recovery — IPO pipeline, M&A advisory fees, leveraged finance issuance — is the cyclical driver. Equity underwriting volumes in tech and healthcare are the forward indicators for advisory revenue.

What this means for $IBKR

Partial — net interest margin and credit quality are the primary earnings drivers; Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
+0.6%YTD
+1.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
36.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
86.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
13.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
91.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
5.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 21, 2026$0.69$0.64+7.8%
Q1 2026Apr 21, 2026$0.60$0.57+5.3%
Q4 2025Jan 20, 2026$0.65$0.59+9.2%
Q3 2025Oct 16, 2025$0.57$0.54+5.2%
Next earningsTue, Oct 20·consensus EPS $0.67

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.7B+16.9%96.1%87.3%$0.60$3.6B
Q4 FY25$2.7B+13.5%91.1%87.5%$0.64$1.6B
Q3 FY25$2.7B+12.9%90.8%87.2%$0.59$4.5B
Q2 FY25$2.5B+7.3%88.7%84.8%$0.51$7.1B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.5B$7.2B – $7.8B$2.72$2.65 – $2.765
FY27$8.7B$8.4B – $9.0B$3.19$3.00 – $3.305
FY28$9.9B$9.4B – $10.8B$3.64$3.39 – $3.784
FY29$10.8B$10.4B – $11.2B$3.93$3.75 – $4.143

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.96%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+24.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 435.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 3Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyJul 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyJun 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyMay 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KSellApr 28Lawrence E HarrisDirector26.0K sh$2.0MBuyApr 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2K
+ 6 other (5 inkinds · 1 award) in window

See when $IBKR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 31424B5
AI summary

IBKR (IBKR) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on 2026-07-31 for promotional share distribution: 920,000 shares at $86.26. . Proceeds will be used for: The first part is this prospectus supplement, which p. This represents shares issued for customer promotions with no cash proceeds.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 31424B5
AI summary

IBKR (IBKR) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on 2026-07-31 for new dilutive share issuance: 2,499,567 shares at $86.26. . Proceeds will be used for: The first part is this prospectus supplement, which provide. This represents dilution to existing shareholders.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJul 31S-3ASR
AI summary

IBKR (IBKR) filed an S-3ASR shelf registration statement (Common Stock) on 2026-07-31. This is a primary shelf registration (potential future dilution) that establishes the framework for future securities offerings. No capital is raised at filing — actual dilution occurs only when specific prospectus supplements (424B) are filed. Administrative but important to watch as a precursor to future at-the-market or underwritten offerings.

8-KShareholder voteApr 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

IBKR held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-29 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 10 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 12 other (2 10-Qs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Robinhood and Interactive Brokers Both Ride Retail Volume. Only One Earns on Idle Cash.fool.com·2d agoInteractive Brokers Profits When Trading Is Hot. What Happens When It Cools?fool.com·3d agoIBKR Gains 50.1% So Far in 2026: Should You Buy the Stock Now?zacks.com·4d ago3 Investment Bank Stocks Set to Benefit From Industry Tailwindszacks.com·4d agoHere Are Thursday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Abercrombie & Fitch, Choice Hotels International, DigitalOcean Holdings, First Solar, LTC Properties, Okta, Regions Financial, Synopsys, and More247wallst.com·5d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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