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TickerTalks›$IBKR
IBIBKR

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 17% YoY at strong marginsCatalyst pendingConsistent chatter on X (802/wk), no spike
$IBKR·$162B·Investment - Banking & Investment Services·Financial Services
$90.53-1.8%YTD+38.4%1Y+52.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 16 posts2026-07-11: 49 posts2026-07-12: 89 posts2026-07-13: 187 posts2026-07-14: 99 posts2026-07-15: 164 posts2026-07-16: 128 posts841+30%
Price updated 1h ago·X counts updated 45m ago
IBIBKR
$IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.
$90.53-1.82%841 posts+30%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $IBKR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

The quality-brokerage compounder at 86% of range — July 21 earnings is where the compounder math has to keep landing.

Interactive Brokers is the low-cost professional brokerage — the specific platform quant funds, family offices and sophisticated retail investors use for global-multi-asset trading. The stock is at 86% of its 52-week range going into July 21 earnings.

Why the compounder read holds up:

  • Fundamentals are best-in-class in the brokerage complex: 87% operating margin, 92% gross margin, and an 11.5% free cash flow yield — meaning IBKR runs at the highest incremental margin of any listed brokerage.
  • The compounder track record is real: 27.8% CAGR over the last decade and 15.9% CAGR over 19 years — meaning the multiple isn't stretched relative to the compounding history, even at 36x TTM P/E.
  • The tape confirms the setup: sitting 3.5% above the 50-day, 23% above the 200-day, at 86% of the 52-week range — the specific pattern of a stock being repositioned into on the compounder narrative.
  • The check is prediction-market regulation: the specific X caution — that prediction-market regulation could hurt margins for HOOD, IBKR and COIN — is a fair point, though IBKR's exposure is smaller than the pure prediction-market plays.

July 21 earnings is the trigger. A number confirming account-growth stability plus stable net-interest-margin extends the leg; a specific soft-account print or NIM decel is the specific setup that would question the compounder read.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the compounder track record and the 27.8% decade CAGR, and the fundamentals genuinely support it — those are the specific numbers behind quality-compounder framing. The check the corpus is right to flag is prediction-market regulation; IBKR's exposure is real but smaller than the pure prediction-market plays.

What to watch: The July 21 print — account-growth trajectory, net-interest-margin trend, and any commentary on prediction-market segment exposure. Above-consensus account growth plus stable NIM extends the leg; a soft account print or NIM decel questions the compounder read.

On the calendar: 2026-07-21 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Interactive Brokers chatter is bullish quality-compounder. IBKR generated 27.8% CAGR over the last decade and 15.9% lifetime CAGR (19.2 years). Community broadly long. Some caution about regulation to prediction markets potentially hurting margins for HOOD/IBKR/COIN. Community broadly long.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $IBKR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Automated electronic broker executing trades across stocks, options, futures, FX, and crypto for retail and institutional clients globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Investment - Banking & Investment Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $IBKR.

Investment - Banking & Investment Services · Financial Services

No material change from last week — high ADV benefits the automated electronic broker while the SEC's removal of the $25K PDT rule expands the addressable retail trader population.

What this means for $IBKR

Direct beneficiary — Automated electronic broker executing trades across stocks, options, futures, FX, and crypto for retail and institutional clients globally; core operations sit in the path of the SEC rule changes and electronic broker high-ADV tailwind.

Top industry ETF

$XLFFinancial Select Sector SPDR
+2.6%YTD
+7.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
36.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
86.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
13.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
91.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
5.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 21, 2026$0.60$0.57+5.3%
Q4 2025Jan 20, 2026$0.65$0.59+9.2%
Q3 2025Oct 16, 2025$0.57$0.54+5.2%
Q2 2025Jul 17, 2025$0.51$0.47+8.2%
Next earningsTue, Jul 21·consensus EPS $0.64

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.7B+16.9%96.1%87.3%$0.60$3.6B
Q4 FY25$2.7B+13.5%91.1%87.5%$0.64$1.6B
Q3 FY25$2.7B+12.9%90.8%87.2%$0.59$4.5B
Q2 FY25$2.5B+7.3%88.7%84.8%$0.51$7.1B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.1B$7.0B – $7.2B$2.56$2.52 – $2.604
FY27$8.1B$7.8B – $8.4B$2.95$2.81 – $3.064
FY28$9.4B$9.3B – $9.4B$3.40$3.12 – $3.603
FY29$10.3B$9.9B – $10.7B$3.80$3.58 – $3.962

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.86%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+3.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+23.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 432.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.335-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJul 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyJun 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyMay 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KSellApr 28Lawrence E HarrisDirector26.0K sh$2.0MBuyApr 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyMar 2Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyFeb 25Lori A ConklingDirector50 sh$4KSellJan 27Earl H NemserChair60.2K sh$4.5MSellJan 26Earl H NemserChair94.8K sh$7.2MSellJan 23Earl H NemserChair145.0K sh$11.3M
1–10 of 11
+ 5 other (5 inkinds) in window

See when $IBKR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteApr 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

IBKR held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-29 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 10 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 10 other (2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Upgraded to Strong Buy: Here's What You Should Knowzacks.com·1d agoVolatility, Increased Client Activity to Support IBKR's Q2 Earningszacks.com·1d agoInteractive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Knowzacks.com·2d agoNew Strong Buy Stocks for July 16thzacks.com·2d agoInteractive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Is Up 3.02% in One Week: What You Should Knowzacks.com·2d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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