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IBIBKR

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 17% YoY at strong marginsCatalyst pendingConsistent chatter on X (229/wk), no spike
$IBKR·$162B·Investment - Banking & Investment Services·Financial Services
$92.89-1.3%YTD+43.8%1Y+59.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-03: 12 posts2026-07-04: 7 posts2026-07-05: 16 posts2026-07-06: 31 posts2026-07-07: 26 posts2026-07-08: 58 posts2026-07-09: 79 posts229
Price updated 3m ago·X counts updated 4d ago
IBIBKR
$IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.
$92.90-1.27%229 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $IBKR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-13

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Interactive Brokers at 91st percentile with 87% operating margin — the compounder's compounder reports July 21.

Interactive Brokers is the largest independent US brokerage by client-asset base, targeting professional and sophisticated retail traders. This year's setup is textbook: quiet compounding, fresh highs, and a clean fundamental print eight days out.

Why this is a genuinely rare setup:

  • The operating economics are the best in the industry, full stop: Q1 revenue grew 17% year over year to $2.7B with 96% gross margins and 87% operating margins — those numbers are best-in-class for any listed brokerage, and they reflect the mostly-software, low-marginal-cost nature of Interactive Brokers' platform.
  • The long-term compounding story is real: a 27.8% CAGR over the last decade and 15.9% over the 19.2-year lifetime — those are equity-index-crushing returns from a broker, and it's the reason the community frames this as 'the one you should regret not buying during COVID.'
  • The prediction-market-regulation risk is worth naming: bears note that prediction-market regulation coming near-term could hurt margins for HOOD/IBKR/COIN — that's a real overhang for the specific segment, but Interactive Brokers' revenue base is dominated by traditional securities trading, so the risk is bounded relative to a company like Robinhood.

July 21 earnings need customer-account growth above 25% AND net-interest-income improvement to sustain the trend; a widened prediction-market-provisioning charge or a soft account-growth print is what would flip the coil into cooling. This is the quiet compounder — the setup rewards patience, not activity, and the print is where the confirmation lands.

Agrees with X sentimentBulls are aligned on the compounder narrative and the CAGR history — all supported by the fundamentals. The prediction-market-regulation caution is legitimate and worth naming.

What to watch: July 21 earnings — customer-account growth (needs above 25%), net-interest-income trajectory, and any commentary on prediction-market regulation. An account-growth miss or a widened regulation-related provisioning is what would flip the coil into cooling.

On the calendar: 2026-07-21 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-12

Posts describe Interactive Brokers with an impressive 27.8% CAGR over the last decade and 15.9% CAGR over the 19.2-year lifetime, framed as one investors should regret not buying during COVID. Bulls flag steady, low-panic price action supporting the compounder thesis. Bears note prediction-market regulation coming in the near future could hurt margins for HOOD/IBKR/COIN.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $IBKR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Automated electronic broker executing trades across stocks, options, futures, FX, and crypto for retail and institutional clients globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Investment - Banking & Investment Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $IBKR.

Investment - Banking & Investment Services · Financial Services

No material change from last week — high ADV benefits the automated electronic broker while the SEC's removal of the $25K PDT rule expands the addressable retail trader population.

What this means for $IBKR

Direct beneficiary — Automated electronic broker executing trades across stocks, options, futures, FX, and crypto for retail and institutional clients globally; core operations sit in the path of the SEC rule changes and electronic broker high-ADV tailwind.

Top industry ETF

$XLFFinancial Select Sector SPDR
+1.6%YTD
+5.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
36.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
86.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
13.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
91.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
5.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 21, 2026$0.60$0.57+5.3%
Q4 2025Jan 20, 2026$0.65$0.59+9.2%
Q3 2025Oct 16, 2025$0.57$0.54+5.2%
Q2 2025Jul 17, 2025$0.51$0.47+8.2%
Next earningsTue, Jul 21·consensus EPS $0.59

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.7B+16.9%96.1%87.3%$0.60$3.6B
Q4 FY25$2.7B+13.5%91.1%87.5%$0.64$1.6B
Q3 FY25$2.7B+12.9%90.8%87.2%$0.59$4.5B
Q2 FY25$2.5B+7.3%88.7%84.8%$0.51$7.1B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.1B$7.0B – $7.2B$2.56$2.52 – $2.604
FY27$8.1B$7.8B – $8.4B$2.95$2.81 – $3.064
FY28$9.4B$9.3B – $9.4B$3.40$3.12 – $3.603
FY29$10.3B$9.9B – $10.7B$3.80$3.58 – $3.962

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.91%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+26.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 432.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.335-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJul 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyJun 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyMay 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KSellApr 28Lawrence E HarrisDirector26.0K sh$2.0MBuyApr 1Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyMar 2Lori A ConklingDirector25 sh$2KBuyFeb 25Lori A ConklingDirector50 sh$4KSellJan 27Earl H NemserChair60.2K sh$4.5MSellJan 26Earl H NemserChair94.8K sh$7.2MSellJan 23Earl H NemserChair145.0K sh$11.3M
1–10 of 11
+ 5 other (5 inkinds) in window

See when $IBKR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteApr 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

IBKR held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-29 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 10 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 10 other (2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Interactive Brokers Stock Zoomed 35.3% Higher In The First Half of 2026fool.com·2d agoGoldman Sachs vs. Interactive Brokers: Which Financial Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·5d agoInteractive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Knowzacks.com·6d agoPolymarket’s World Cup Bets Hit $3.9 Billion. Now Trump and Zuckerberg Want A Piece.247wallst.com·6d agoIs It Worth Investing in Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?zacks.com·10d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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