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HLHLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 7% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (27 mentions/wk)
$HLT·$71B·Travel Lodging·Consumer Cyclical
$320.31+2.0%YTD+11.7%1Y+22.1%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
HLHLT
$HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
$320.31+2.02%27 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $HLT on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

27X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $HLT's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 86% of tracked names.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-07

Hilton has a Trump-CEO-meeting tailwind and a solid trendline+200 DMA basing setup. But Carter Worth flags MAR/H/HLT/HGV all breaking below 150-day MAs in bullish-to-bearish reversals, and open debate about white-collar-AI-displacement impairing business-travel profits. Genuinely split.

Read what X is saying about $HLT

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $HLT — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-27

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Hilton's tape is genuinely split — the Trump-CEO tailwind against Carter Worth's 150-day-MA break call.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings is the largest US-listed asset-light hotel operator with the Hilton Bonvoy loyalty ecosystem across dozens of brands. The equity has been quiet through 2026 as the setup is legitimately contested.

  • The base business is holding: revenue grew 6.5% YoY last quarter to $3.34B and Q2 hit the same with EPS beating by 1% — a scaled asset-light hotel operator running steady economics with 44% gross margin, 23% operating margin, and 17% ROIC.
  • The valuation asks a lot: 47x earnings and 5.8x sales on a business with a debt-heavy balance sheet — priced like a compounder, so any RevPAR deceleration or business-travel weakness compresses the multiple fast.
  • The tape is legitimately contested: the Trump-CEO-meeting tailwind and the solid trendline plus 200-DMA basing setup on one side, Carter Worth flagging MAR/H/HLT/HGV all breaking below 150-day MAs on the other, plus the white-collar-AI-displacement business-travel debate.

The Oct 28 print is the arbiter: any raise on 2027 RevPAR plus commentary on business-travel recovery restarts the coil; a soft RevPAR number or an explicit commentary on white-collar-AI-displacement drag is where the setup fails. Fuentes's $2.3M sale plus $1.7M exercise nets to real distribution flow, not just comp-driven activity.

Agrees with X sentimentAligned that the tape is legitimately split — the Trump-CEO-meeting tailwind versus Carter Worth's MAR/H/HLT/HGV 150-day-MA break is a real contested read that both sides deserve to hold.

What to watch: Oct 28 earnings — 2027 RevPAR guide, business-travel-recovery commentary, gross-margin trajectory, white-collar-AI-displacement color, and follow-on C-suite insider Form 4s. A RevPAR raise plus business-travel strength restarts the coil; a soft RevPAR number is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

beta missing

Read the AI verdict on $HLT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Asset-light hotel franchisor and manager with 24 brands and 7,000+ properties globally, earning fee income on room revenue.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Travel Lodging sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HLT.

Travel Lodging · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Marriott confirmed RevPAR acceleration beyond the World Cup lift in Q2, with demand breadth across brands, geographies, room rates, and occupancy — organic demand, not event-driven.

What this means for $HLT

Neutral — Asset-light hotel franchisor and manager with 24 brands and 7,000+ properties globally, earning fee income on room revenue.

Top industry ETF

$XLYConsumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR
-7.9%YTD
-9.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
46.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
23.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-28.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 28, 2026$2.29$2.27+0.9%
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$2.01$1.98+1.5%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$2.08$2.02+3.0%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$2.11$2.06+2.4%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $2.35

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$3.3B+6.5%30.5%25.7%$2.12$481.0M
Q1 FY26$2.9B+9.0%40.2%23.1%$1.68$609.0M
Q4 FY25$3.1B+10.9%76.4%19.5%$1.29$151.0M
Q3 FY25$3.1B+8.8%30.2%24.9%$1.79$766.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$13.0B$5.8B – $14.4B$9.04$8.83 – $9.2815
FY27$14.2B$13.8B – $14.4B$10.40$10.00 – $11.1115
FY28$15.2B$14.6B – $16.1B$11.91$10.53 – $13.5111
FY29$16.5B$15.0B – $17.1B$14.16$12.51 – $14.825
FY30$17.9B$16.3B – $18.5B$16.67$14.72 – $17.445

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.64%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 220.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.065-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 14Laura FuentesSee Remarks7.3K sh$2.3MSellSep 14Chris CarrDirector439 sh$136K
+ 22 other (19 awards · 2 inkinds · 1 exempt) in window

See when $HLT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KMaterial agreementMay 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 58-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 9 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

2,101 Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. $HLT Shares Purchased by QRG Capital Management Inc.defenseworld.net·4d agoBill Ackman Said ‘Hell Is Coming' in 2020 — How a $27 Million Hedge Turned Into $2.6 Billion as He Bought the Crashbenzinga.com·10d agoNykredit A S Makes New $41.28 Million Investment in Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. $HLTdefenseworld.net·10d agoHilton Director Chris Carr Sells 439 Sharesfool.com·11d agoInsider at Legendary Travel Stock Waves Goodbye to $2.3 Million Worth of Sharesfool.com·13d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $HLT on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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