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HLHLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 7% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (46 mentions/wk)
$HLT·$71B·Travel Lodging·Consumer Cyclical
$320.82-0.5%1Y+17.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-06: 9 posts2026-08-07: 5 posts2026-08-08: 7 posts2026-08-09: 2 posts2026-08-10: 5 posts2026-08-11: 7 posts2026-08-12: 11 posts46-3%
Price updated 3h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
HLHLT
$HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
$320.82-0.53%46 posts-3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HLT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-12

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Hilton is a compounding lodging franchise coiling with +21% twelve-month tape; leverage the sell-side debate.

Hilton is a franchise-fee-driven lodging compounder still doing what it does — the debate is about the debt and the cycle.

What the numbers say:

  • Price $314.66, +21% over twelve months — a quiet uptrend that hasn't yet broken to a fresh high.
  • PE ~47, op margin ~23%, ROIC ~17%, FCF yield ~2.8%, D/E -2.22 (negative equity from aggressive buybacks — the usual asset-light-lodging artifact).
  • Recent debate: 'Can Hilton's travel boom outrun rising debt and global demand risks?' — the sell-side is starting to poke at the leverage.
  • Governance/labor noise: UNITE HERE Local 8 activism at a Seattle property.

The setup is a compounder in a coil — the Oct 28 print is where the RevPAR trajectory and pipeline commentary land.

What to watch: Oct 28 Q3 print — RevPAR trend, unit-growth pipeline, and any FCF/leverage commentary on the buyback pace.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

thin sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HLT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Asset-light hotel franchisor and manager with 24 brands and 7,000+ properties globally, earning fee income on room revenue.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Travel Lodging sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HLT.

Travel Lodging · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Hyatt's premium hospitality positioning and World Cup 2026 event demand are sustaining RevPAR growth above pre-pandemic levels. Leisure travel resilience and group meeting recovery continue to support premium hotel pricing power.

Top industry ETF

$XLYConsumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR
-1.5%YTD
+3.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
46.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
23.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-28.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 28, 2026$2.29$2.27+0.9%
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$2.01$1.98+1.5%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$2.08$2.02+3.0%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$2.11$2.06+2.4%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $2.38

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$3.3B+6.5%30.5%25.7%$2.12$481.0M
Q1 FY26$2.9B+9.0%40.2%23.1%$1.68$609.0M
Q4 FY25$3.1B+10.9%76.4%19.5%$1.29$151.0M
Q3 FY25$3.1B+8.8%30.2%24.9%$1.79$766.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$13.0B$12.9B – $13.2B$9.04$8.85 – $9.3011
FY27$14.1B$13.7B – $14.4B$10.40$9.96 – $11.0612
FY28$15.2B$14.5B – $16.0B$11.96$10.64 – $13.589
FY29$16.5B$16.1B – $16.9B$14.16$13.74 – $14.624
FY30$17.9B$17.5B – $18.3B$16.67$16.17 – $17.204

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.66%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+4.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 220.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 40 other (33 awards · 7 inkinds) in window

See when $HLT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KMaterial agreementMay 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 58-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KMaterial agreementMar 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
+ 10 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: The Gap, Genmab, Hilton Worldwide, Intuitive Surgical, Marriott International, Merck, Novo Nordisk, Okta, and More247wallst.com·2d agoUNITE HERE Local 8: Are Hilton Hotels nICE Hotels? Seattle Embassy Suites Workers Call Out Company's Insufficient Protections for Immigrants as Strike Passes 50 Daysbusinesswire.com·6d agoWhat Does a Hilton Executive's Sale of Nearly 2,000 Shares Mean for Investors?fool.com·7d agoCan Hilton's Travel Boom Outrun Rising Debt and Global Demand Risks?zacks.com·10d agoIs Hilton Stock Worth Buying as Growth Meets a Premium Valuation?zacks.com·10d ago

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