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The Home Depot, Inc.

$HD·$355B·Home Improvement·Consumer Cyclical
$330.19+0.5%YTD-2.9%1Y-19.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 80 posts2026-08-21: 54 posts2026-08-22: 18 posts1,412+1%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
HDHD
$HDThe Home Depot, Inc.
$330.19+0.48%1.4k posts+1%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Home Depot beat on Q2 with Express Delivery rolling out — real quality name coiling under a CEO health uncertainty.

Home Depot is the largest US home-improvement retailer — the Pro-contractor channel plus a scaling DIY delivery business. The setup is a durable compounder pausing under a specific leadership overhang.

  • The most recent print re-established the bull case: Q2 EPS came in at $4.92 versus a $4.73 consensus, revenue at $47.9B beat, and the Pro-heavy mix continued to outperform DIY — Q1 (fiscal May end) already showed comps returning to +4.8% YoY growth, so the housing-freeze narrative is starting to soften at the point of sale.
  • The product/service moves are quietly compounding: Express Delivery (3-hour or less) rolled out this month, the Magic Apron in-store personalization program is expanding, and CFO McPhail's recent $2M sale after a $1.8M option exercise is standard 10b5-1 execution, not conviction leaving — the more interesting insider print is the absence of open-market buying.
  • The CEO health situation is a real short-term overhang: CEO Ed Decker took a temporary medical leave in mid-August with EVP Ann-Marie Campbell running day-to-day and CFO McPhail overseeing broader strategy — the market doesn't like leadership uncertainty in a compounder, though the interim setup is credible and no strategy pivot is signaled.

The setup is a quality name coiled 30% into its 52-week range with a solid print behind it — the November 17 Q3 earnings is the next referee, and the market needs comps holding above +4% plus an update on Decker's return timeline. A clean beat plus a clear leadership resolution breaks the coil up; a guide cut or a prolonged CEO absence would keep it stalled below the 200-day.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X bullish read on the Q2 beat, the Express Delivery rollout, price upgrades, and the $711.9M dark-pool print is consistent with the reported numbers — the +$0.19 EPS beat and reaccelerating comps back the constructive case. The crowd correctly flags the housing-market softness caveat, though nobody is naming the CEO medical-leave overhang, which is the real short-term risk.

What to watch: The November 17 Q3 earnings — need comps holding above +4% YoY and reiterated FY27 EPS guidance around the $14.95 consensus. A clean beat plus a definitive update on CEO Decker's return timeline breaks the coil up; a guide cut or a prolonged CEO absence would keep it stalled.

On the calendar: 2026-11-17 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-29

Home Depot chatter is bullish. Contributors frame it as a rotation beneficiary (money out of AI into dividend/retail), highlight the Express Delivery <3hr rollout leveraging ~2,350 stores, and note a $711.9M dark-pool print at $334.85. Trump-portfolio filings show HD among the largest June purchases. A minority worries housing-market weakness could pressure the name.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
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  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates 2,300+ home improvement stores in North America selling lumber, appliances, tools, and supplies to DIY and professional customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Home Improvement sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HD.

Home Improvement · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — elevated mortgage rates depress existing home sales and suppress the renovation-on-move trigger that drives large-ticket HD and LOW revenue.

What this means for $HD

Partial — Operates 2,300+ home improvement stores in North America selling lumber, appliances, tools, and supplies to DIY and professional customers; partial earnings exposure to home improvement demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$XLYConsumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR
-1.5%YTD
+0.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
22.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
20.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
113%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
33.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 18, 2026$4.92$4.73+4.0%
Q1 2026May 19, 2026$3.43$3.41+0.6%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$2.72$2.53+7.5%
Q3 2025Nov 18, 2025$3.74$3.83-2.3%
Next earningsTue, Nov 17·consensus EPS $3.88

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$41.8B+4.8%33.0%11.9%$3.31$5.2B
Q4 FY25$38.2B-3.8%32.6%10.1%$2.59$2.3B
Q3 FY25$41.4B+2.8%33.4%12.9%$3.63$3.1B
Q2 FY25$45.3B+4.9%33.4%14.5%$4.59$3.7B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 26 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$171.0B$169.3B – $178.5B$14.95$14.79 – $15.0926
FY28$177.5B$174.2B – $186.7B$16.08$15.58 – $16.3926
FY29$185.1B$175.5B – $188.3B$17.48$16.68 – $17.8319
FY30$192.6B$187.7B – $196.8B$19.09$18.46 – $19.6412
FY31$195.7B$190.7B – $200.0B$19.80$19.15 – $20.3817

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 995.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.965-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 26Michael F. RoweEVP, Pro710 sh$239KSellAug 19Richard V McphailCFO6.0K sh$2.1MSellMar 4Richard V McphailCFO2.5K sh$941KSellMar 4John A. DeatonEVP - Supply Chain & Prod. Dev1.8K sh$662K
+ 37 other (26 awards · 9 inkinds · 1 exempt · 1 other) in window

See when $HD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Home Depot (HD) disclosed executive leadership portfolio realignments announced July 30, 2026 and formalized as of the filing date, including: William D. Bastek (EVP–Merchandising) added private brand product development oversight; Jordan Broggi (EVP–Interconnected Retail) assumed additional operational responsibilities (excerpt cuts off). No departures or new hires are involved. Administrative portfolio redistribution among existing Home Depot executives; routine organizational refinement without financial impact.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

The Home Depot announced that CEO Edward P. Decker has taken a temporary medical leave, effective around August 11-12, 2026. During his absence, Senior EVP Ann-Marie Campbell is overseeing day-to-day operations, while CFO Richard V. McPhail has been designated interim principal executive officer and is managing financial affairs and Pro subsidiaries. Independent lead director Gregory D. Brenneman is chairing the Board. Campbell is a 40-year Home Depot veteran who began as a cashier in 1985; the dual-leadership structure is designed to maintain continuity during Decker's leave.

8-KCharter amendmentMay 268-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

HD (HD) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on multiple proposals. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 93
AI summary

The Home Depot Inc. (HD) filed a Form 3 initial statement of beneficial ownership for newly appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer Bell, who holds no shares of common stock. This routine filing establishes the baseline ownership record for the new executive within 10 days of appointment. The zero-share position is common for newly appointed officers prior to receiving equity grants. No derivative securities were reported.

+ 16 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks · 2 PX14A6Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Advisors Preferred LLC Invests $2.79 Million in The Home Depot, Inc. $HDdefenseworld.net·2d agoThe Home Depot amplía el programa Magic Apron para ofrecer asesoramiento personalizado y adaptado a cada tiendaprnewswire.com·2d agoPrediction: Home Depot's Turnaround Could Be Bigger Than Investors Expect247wallst.com·2d agoThe Home Depot Expands Magic Apron to Deliver Personalized & Localized In-Store Guidanceprnewswire.com·3d agoAssuredPartners Investment Advisors LLC Acquires Shares of 8,600 The Home Depot, Inc. $HDdefenseworld.net·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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