Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
$108.26+2.9%1Y+83.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
45
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HCC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.
What it does
Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.
Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
Where Coal sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HCC.
Coal
Top industry ETF
$XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR
+30.9%YTD
+39.6%1Y
Fundamentals & catalyst
Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.
Key ratios
P/E
25.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.ROIC
8.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.Op margin
13.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.FCF yield
0.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).P/S
3.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.ROE
10.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.Gross margin
41.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.Past earnings
QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$1.65$1.40+17.9%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$1.37$1.41-2.8%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.44$0.62-29.0%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.70$-0.51+236.3%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $1.39
Quarterly trend
QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$509.7M+70.6%31.9%18.5%$1.65$103.4M
Q1 FY26$458.6M+53.8%98.2%17.3%$1.37$-91.9M
Q4 FY25$384.1M+29.1%13.8%9.1%$0.44$-18.1M
Q3 FY25$327.9M+0.0%11.3%6.1%$0.70$12.8M
Forward consensus
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.0B$2.0B – $2.0B$6.03$5.01 – $7.054
FY27$2.2B$2.0B – $2.4B$8.00$4.25 – $11.754
FY28$2.3B$2.0B – $2.5B$9.04$3.83 – $14.235
Setup & momentum
Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.
Right now
Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.95%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+23.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+22.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.
Float & profile
FloatMid float · 51.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.655-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.
Insider activity
Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.
SEC filings
Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.
Recent material filings
8-KOfficer or director changeApr 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 14 other (6 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window
Recent news
Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.
Warrior Met Coal CEO Sells 50,000 Shares for $5.5 Million131,115 Shares in Warrior Met Coal $HCC Acquired by Deutsche Bank AGIs Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Overvalued After 3.3% Rally? GF Value Says OvervaluedMohnish Pabrai's Top Q2 2026 Move: Trimming Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc at a -3.04% Portfolio ImpactWarrior Met Coal Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
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