TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$FERG
FEFERG

Ferguson plc

$FERG·$43B·Industrial - Distribution·Industrials
$223.87-1.5%YTD+0.3%1Y-0.5%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
FEFERG
$FERGFerguson plc
$223.87-1.51%43 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

The complete picture of $FERG on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

43X posts · last 7 days
Sep 12Sep 27
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $FERG's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 60% of tracked names.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $FERG — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Plumbing-and-HVAC distributor Ferguson is flat year-to-date but the Q4 print re-accelerated to 3% revenue growth with margin holding — a quiet coiled setup into the November print.

Ferguson plc is a $43B-cap North American plumbing, HVAC, and industrial-distribution leader that has consolidated a fragmented industry and consistently generates cash.

  • Up 2% year to date and 1% over the last twelve months, positioned 25% of its 52-week range and slightly below both moving averages — a coiled, undynamic setup.
  • Fiscal Q4 revenue $8.75B grew 3% year over year (an acceleration from Q3's -2%) with 31% gross margin and 10% operating margin.
  • Trailing P/E 23, ROE 34%, and ROIC 17% — high-quality distributor economics.
  • Three straight beats of 0-6% surprise magnitude — steady, unspectacular beat cadence that matches the tape.
  • Debt-to-equity 1.03 is normal for a distributor; free-cash-flow yield 2% reflects working-capital seasonality.
  • Analyst-covered next-year consensus is $11.36 EPS on $33B revenue — mid-single-digit growth with modest margin expansion.

November 5 earnings will be the referendum on whether the Q4 top-line re-acceleration continues into fiscal 2027 and whether the pricing environment keeps supporting gross margin.

What to watch: November 5 print — revenue growth staying above 3%, gross margin holding above 30%, and any commentary on residential versus non-residential mix into 2027.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — fiscal Q1 earnings

no sentiment sample

Read the AI verdict on $FERG

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

North America's dominant plumbing and HVAC product distributor serving residential, commercial, and industrial contractors.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Distribution sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $FERG.

Industrial - Distribution · Industrials

MRO (maintenance, repair, operations) industrial distribution benefits from reshoring manufacturing capacity growth — domestic factories require ongoing supply partnerships for consumables, fasteners, and safety products. E-commerce disruption risk is lower than consumer retail given technical SKU complexity and service-contract bundling; customer consolidation to fewer preferred vendors creates scale advantages for MSC, W.W. Grainger, and Fastenal.

What this means for $FERG

Partial — North America's dominant plumbing and HVAC product distributor serving residential, commercial, and industrial contractors.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
-15.9%YTD
-33.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
23.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
34.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
30.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$3.39$3.31+2.4%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$2.28$2.16+5.6%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$3.48$3.480.0%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$2.84$2.77+2.5%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $3.31

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$8.8B+3.0%31.0%10.2%$3.44—
Q3 FY26$7.5B-2.0%31.0%8.2%$2.13$680.0M
Q2 FY26$7.5B+9.1%29.4%8.0%$1.99$-454.4M
Q1 FY26$8.2B+5.1%30.7%9.4%$2.91$312.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$33.0B$32.8B – $33.3B$11.36$11.17 – $11.6614
FY27$35.1B$33.9B – $35.5B$12.60$12.15 – $13.0414
FY28$37.1B$37.0B – $37.2B$13.92$13.10 – $15.2814
FY29$39.0B$38.3B – $39.6B$15.35$14.97 – $15.689
FY30$39.9B$39.2B – $40.6B$16.36$15.96 – $16.7113

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.20%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 28Jake SchlicherChief Strategy Officer5.2K sh$1.2M
+ 37 other (35 awards · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $FERG insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) filed an 8-K on August 12, 2026 (event date August 11) under Items 1.01 and 2.03, announcing a material definitive agreement and the creation of a new material direct financial obligation. The excerpt is the cover page; the specific agreement and debt terms are in the body. This combination typically signals a new credit agreement or term loan. Ferguson is the largest U.S. plumbing and HVAC distribution company; new credit facilities often support acquisition-driven growth.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) filed an 8-K on July 14, 2026 (event date July 13) under Item 7.01 (Regulation FD), furnishing investor materials — likely a business update or investor presentation — simultaneously made public. The excerpt is the cover page; the actual materials are in the exhibit. Ferguson is the largest U.S. distributor of plumbing, HVAC, and waterworks products. Reg FD filings at Ferguson typically accompany investor conference presentations or capital markets days.

8-KShareholder voteMay 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 7 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 routine 8-K · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Head to Head Analysis: Karat Packaging (NASDAQ:KRT) versus Ferguson (NYSE:FERG)defenseworld.net·2d agoThese 3 Boring Stocks Have One Thing in Common: Demand That Cannot Wait247wallst.com·4d agoQRG Capital Management Inc. Purchases 3,047 Shares of Ferguson plc $FERGdefenseworld.net·5d agoFerguson plc $FERG Stock Sold by Squarepoint Ops LLCdefenseworld.net·5d agoEnvestnet Asset Management Inc. Reduces Stock Holdings in Ferguson plc $FERGdefenseworld.net·5d ago

More in Industrial - Distribution

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$QXO$GWW$WXM$REZI
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $FERG on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport