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FEFERG

Ferguson plc

$FERG·$48B·Industrial - Distribution·Industrials
$244.94-1.3%1Y+7.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 3 posts2026-08-09: 9 posts2026-08-10: 43 posts2026-08-11: 15 posts2026-08-12: 6 posts2026-08-13: 6 posts2026-08-14: 6 posts88+7%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 1d ago
FEFERG
$FERGFerguson plc
$244.94-1.28%88 posts+7%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $FERG, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-14

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Industrial distributor with AI-industrialization thesis — Q4 revenue +3%, $1.2B notes priced, coiled above the MAs awaiting the next catalyst.

Ferguson plc is the U.S.-listed industrial-distribution company (plumbing, HVAC, waterworks) whose Q4 print delivered modest growth on a specific "old-school AI industrialization" thesis — up 8% year-over-year and quietly holding above its moving averages. No X sentiment data.

  • The Q4 print showed durable growth: revenue of $8.75B grew 3% year-over-year with a 31% gross margin and 10% operating margin — the specific profile of a mature industrial distributor benefiting from continued U.S. construction-and-renovation demand.
  • The "old-school AI industrialization winners" framing is a real thematic tailwind: bulls call Ferguson one of four "old-school" themes that benefit specifically from the physical-infrastructure requirements of AI data center buildouts — the specific setup that supports continued upside as data-center capex flows into plumbing-and-HVAC vendors.
  • The $1.2B senior unsecured notes pricing is a specific capital-allocation signal: raising long-dated debt at favorable terms reflects management confidence in cash-generation capacity — the type of financing move that supports both continued buyback and M&A optionality.
  • The valuation is reasonable: at 23x trailing earnings and 1.5x sales, Ferguson trades at a modest premium to industrial-distribution peers — a multiple that supports continued upside if the AI-industrialization thesis continues to validate.

Coming into Nov 5 earnings, the tape needs continued 3%+ revenue growth, specific data-center-related product-line commentary, and any large project-win disclosures. A clean beat plus reaffirmed data-center exposure extends the trend; any construction-cycle-slowdown or margin-mix compression is what would compress the setup at the just-earned premium multiple.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q1 FY27 earnings — continued 3%+ revenue growth, specific data-center-related product-line commentary, and large project-win disclosures. Construction-cycle-slowdown or margin-mix compression compresses the just-earned premium multiple.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q1 FY27 earnings

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Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $FERG

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Ferguson plc operates as a major supplier of plumbing, heating, and related industrial products throughout the United States and Canada. The company serves a diverse client base, providing essential solutions for residential, commercial, civil/infrastructure, and industrial projects. Its extensive product range encompasses core plumbing and heating supplies, such as pipes, valves, fittings, water heaters, and a variety of kitchen and bathroom fixtures and appliances. Beyond these essentials, Ferguson also provides heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVAC/R) equipment, as well as fire sprinkler systems and associated components. The company's offerings further extend to specialized water management products like water meters, irrigation and drainage systems, geosynthetics, and stormwater control solutions. Industrial customers can access a broad selection of flanges, general industrial maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products, high-density polyethylene (HDPE) materials, custom fabrication products, water and wastewater treatment solutions, and comprehensive pipe, valve, and fitting (PVF) systems. To support its clientele, Ferguson delivers a comprehensive array of services, including expert consultation, strategic advice, and project management. They offer convenient pro pick-up and delivery options, alongside a suite of online tools. Additional support features include quotation services, jobsite delivery and logistics management, advanced digital estimation and design capabilities, specialized advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) services, and supply chain management with equipment rental. Ferguson plc also facilitates product sales through its online platforms. The company maintains a significant operational footprint, boasting a network of 1,679 branches and 11 distribution centers. Established in 1887, Ferguson plc is headquartered in Wokingham, United Kingdom.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Distribution sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $FERG.

Industrial - Distribution · Industrials

No material change from last week — water and wastewater infrastructure replacement and upgrade cycles, supported by federal infrastructure spending, drive sustained demand for water, storm, and..

Top industry ETF

$XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR
+19.8%YTD
+23.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
23.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
34.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
30.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$3.39$3.30+2.7%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$1.99$3.48-42.8%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$2.84$2.77+2.5%
Q2 2025Sep 16, 2025$3.48$3.01+15.6%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $3.32

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$8.8B+3.0%31.0%10.2%$3.44—
Q3 FY26$7.5B-2.0%31.0%8.2%$2.13$680.0M
Q2 FY26$7.5B+9.1%29.4%8.0%$1.99$-454.4M
Q1 FY26$8.2B+5.1%30.7%9.4%$2.91$312.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$32.7B$32.5B – $33.0B$11.29$11.01 – $11.5916
FY27$34.7B$33.8B – $35.7B$12.57$12.12 – $13.3616
FY28$36.8B$36.7B – $36.9B$13.93$13.11 – $15.2914
FY29$38.6B$37.8B – $39.3B$15.09$14.72 – $15.499
FY30$38.8B$38.0B – $39.6B$15.14$14.77 – $15.5413

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.58%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β1.125-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 42 other (40 awards · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $FERG insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) filed an 8-K on August 12, 2026 (event date August 11) under Items 1.01 and 2.03, announcing a material definitive agreement and the creation of a new material direct financial obligation. The excerpt is the cover page; the specific agreement and debt terms are in the body. This combination typically signals a new credit agreement or term loan. Ferguson is the largest U.S. plumbing and HVAC distribution company; new credit facilities often support acquisition-driven growth.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) filed an 8-K on July 14, 2026 (event date July 13) under Item 7.01 (Regulation FD), furnishing investor materials — likely a business update or investor presentation — simultaneously made public. The excerpt is the cover page; the actual materials are in the exhibit. Ferguson is the largest U.S. distributor of plumbing, HVAC, and waterworks products. Reg FD filings at Ferguson typically accompany investor conference presentations or capital markets days.

8-KShareholder voteMay 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 15 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Benzinga's 'Stock Whisper' Index: 5 Stocks Investors Secretly Monitor But Don't Talk About Yetbenzinga.com·18h agoDividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16seekingalpha.com·1d agoForget Chips: This Analyst Says 4 “Old School” Themes Could Be the Real AI Industrialization Winners247wallst.com·3d agoFerguson Prices $1.2 Billion of Senior Unsecured Notesbusinesswire.com·4d agoFerguson Analysts Boost Their Forecasts Following Better-Than-Expected Q2 Earningsbenzinga.com·5d ago

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