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CACAR

Avis Budget Group, Inc.

$CAR·$4.9B·Rental & Leasing Services·Industrials
$138.73+0.2%YTD+9.7%1Y-11.4%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 1d ago
CACAR
$CARAvis Budget Group, Inc.
$138.73+0.16%382 posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $CAR on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

382X posts · last 7 days
Aug 21Sep 5
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $CAR's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 55% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-05

Avis is being framed as the wildest chart of the year, with Hertz sitting at roughly 65% published short interest and viral WSB-style setup potential. Posters draw comparisons to the earlier astronomical Avis move as blueprint for another squeeze.

Read what X is saying about $CAR

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $CAR — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-06

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Avis is the WSB-style vehicle-rental squeeze setup with class actions on the tape — a real trade, not a real business turnaround yet.

Avis Budget Group is the second-largest US vehicle-rental network, working through fleet-value damage from post-pandemic used-car market swings. The equity is priced as a squeeze setup rather than a compounder — 7% of the 52-week range on a negative-equity balance sheet.

  • The trade setup is real: high beta (1.9), 65% short interest referenced in the feed (comparable to Hertz), and $138 sits at 7% of the 52-week range against consensus FY26 EPS of $3.48 — the equity math is the classic torpedoed-name-with-earnings-power that runs violently if fleet-value stabilization prints on Oct 26.
  • The overhang is heavy: multiple securities class actions with Sep 29 lead-plaintiff deadlines (specifically around Pentwater Capital Management LP), the negative debt-to-equity of -8.1 reflects real balance-sheet damage, Q1 EPS was -$8.02, and Q2 EPS missed consensus by 52% — the litigation, dilution, and used-car fleet economics all need to break the right way for the squeeze thesis to hold.

The stock is coiling around $138 into the Oct 26 Q3 print — fleet-utilization gains and used-car pricing tailwinds are what fire the squeeze setup; a class-action escalation or a soft Q3 puts the low-100s in play. High-volatility trade, not a durable compounder.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X 'wildest chart of the year, 65% short, WSB-style squeeze potential' framing lines up with the actual setup — the Hertz comparison is fair on both mechanics and vehicle-rental structural pressure — but the Pentwater-related class-action deadlines the feed skips are legitimate near-term overhangs.

What to watch: The Oct 26 Q3 print — fleet utilization and used-vehicle market stabilization drive the squeeze case; the Sep 29 securities class-action lead-plaintiff deadlines and Pentwater-related litigation are the earlier tell.

On the calendar: 2026-10-26 — Q3 earnings

extreme short interestclass actions pendingnegative equity balance sheet

Read the AI verdict on $CAR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates Avis and Budget vehicle rental brands for business and leisure customers in 180+ countries.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Rental & Leasing Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CAR.

Rental & Leasing Services · Industrials

Vehicle rental demand is normalising from post-COVID pricing peaks; EV fleet transition is a capital-intensive medium-term challenge for rental companies. AI-dynamic pricing and fleet optimisation are the near-term margin levers.

What this means for $CAR

Partial — Avis Budget; car rental pricing normalising from peak, fleet cost management critical.

Top industry ETF

$XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR
+19.8%YTD
+15.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-9.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
11.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-24.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
22.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-8.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 28, 2026$0.98$2.05-52.2%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$-8.01$-6.82-17.4%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$-6.53$-0.29-2151.7%
Q3 2025Oct 27, 2025$10.11$8.11+24.7%
Next earningsMon, Oct 26·consensus EPS $8.22

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.5B+4.1%16.3%1.9%$-8.02$-3.1B
Q4 FY25$2.7B-1.7%19.3%6.3%$-21.22$7.2B
Q3 FY25$3.5B+1.1%36.2%20.1%$10.20$-1.5B
Q2 FY25$3.0B-0.3%26.6%12.9%$0.11$-4.2B

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$11.6B$11.5B – $11.8B$3.48$3.38 – $3.615
FY27$11.8B$11.7B – $12.1B$6.43$5.44 – $8.076
FY28$12.1B$11.9B – $12.4B$9.87$7.41 – $11.755

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.7%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-12.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β1.905-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 7Ravi SimhambhatlaEVP, CDIO - see remarks4.7K sh$653KSellApr 30Ravi SimhambhatlaEVP, CDIO - see remarks3.5K sh$639KSellApr 30Edward P LinnenEVP, Chief HR Officer9.5K sh$1.7MSellApr 23Pentwater Capital Management Lp10% owner1.1K sh$387K
+ 4 other (2 exempts · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $CAR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Avis Budget Group, Inc. announced on September 1, 2026 that Ravi Simhambhatla, Executive Vice President and Chief Digital & Innovation Officer, will leave the company with his transition period ending September 30, 2026. No successor was named and no financial terms of the departure were disclosed. An executive-level digital leadership departure at a major rental-car company undergoing fleet modernization; the lack of a named successor could signal near-term strategic uncertainty.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Avis Budget Group (CAR) entered into the Eleventh Amendment to its credit agreement on June 29, 2026, refinancing its $2 billion revolving facility with a new facility maturing June 29, 2031, and establishing a new $200 million revolving facility maturing June 29, 2028, with JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent. Both facilities include springing maturity provisions triggered if outstanding long-term debt exceeds $300 million within 90–91 days of its maturity. This is a constructive credit event that extends Avis Budget's liquidity runway and demonstrates continued bank market access.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 233
AI summary

Form 3 filed by A new officer/director (Other (specify below) VP & Chief Accounting Officer 6. Individual or Joint/Group Filing (Check Applicable Line) X Form filed by One Reporting Person Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned 1. Title of Security (Instr. 4) 2. Amount of Securities Beneficially Owned (Instr. 4) 3. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 4. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Common Stock 324 D Table II - Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned (e.g., puts, calls, warrants, options, convertible securities) 1. Title of Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 2. Date Exercisable and Expiration Date (Month/Day/Year) 3. Title and Amount of Securities Underlying Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 4. Conversion or Exercise Price of Derivative Security 5. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 6. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Date Exercisable Expiration Date Title Amount or Number of Shares Restricted Stock Units 03/13/2027 (1) Common Stock 111 $ 0.00 (2) D Restricted Stock Units (3) (1) Common Stock 400 $ 0.00 (2) D Restricted Stock Units (4) (1) Common Stock 368 $ 0.00 (2) D Explanation of Responses: 1. Expiration date not applicable. 2. Represents restricted stock units which automatically convert to Common Stock upon the vesting of such units on a one-to-one basis. 3. Units vest in two equal installments on March 12, 2027 and 2028. 4. 122 units vest on March 17, 2027, and 123 units vest on March 17, 2028 and 2029. Remarks: Exhibit 24 - Power of Attorney /s/ Jean M. Sera, by Power of Attorney for Tina Goldenberg 06/23/2026 ** Signature of Reporting Person Date Reminder: Report on a separate line for each class of securities beneficially owned directly or indirectly. * If the form is filed by more than one reporting person, see Instruction 5 (b)(v). ** Intentional misstatements or omissions of facts constitute Federal Criminal Violations See 18 U.S.C. 1001 and 15 U.S.C. 78ff(a). Note: File three copies of this Form, one of which must be manually signed. If space is insufficient, see Instruction 6 for procedure. Persons who respond to the collection of information contained in this form are not required to respond unless the form displays a currently valid OMB Number. * Form 3: SEC 1473 (03-26)) at CAR on 2026-06-23. This initial statement of beneficial ownership reports the filer's securities holdings as required under Section 16(a). Filing is routine and indicates an insider's initial ownership disclosure following appointment or acquisition of 10%+ stake.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 128-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Avis Budget Group's AESOP LLC subsidiary issued $650 million in asset-backed securities on June 9, 2026 across two series: Series 2026-3 ($250M, 3-year maturity; Class A-D at 4.82%-8.43%) and Series 2026-4 ($400M, 5-year maturity; Class A-D at 5.09%-9.13%), secured by the vehicle fleet under the Base Indenture with BNY Mellon as trustee; risk retention notes ($35.75M combined Class R) were issued to AESOP Leasing LP. Successful ABS market access at these rates is critical for Avis's fleet-financing model and demonstrates continued capital market availability for the car-rental operator.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The filing reports both a departure and an appointment in President. Individuals named in the filing include Earliest Event, Avis Budget. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

8-KShareholder voteMay 218-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor, shareholder proposals. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 58-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $2.227 billion. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Mar 27424B5
+ 14 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Avis Budget Group Shareholder Alert: ClaimsFiler Reminds Investors With Losses In Excess Of $100,000 Of Lead Plaintiff Deadline In Class Action Lawsuit Against Avis Budget Group, Inc. - CARgurufocus.com·2d agoCAR DEADLINE ALERT: ROSEN, A LONGSTANDING LAW FIRM, Encourages Avis Budget Group, Inc. Investors with Losses in Excess of $100K to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action Against Pentwater Capital Management LP - CARnewsfilecorp.com·2d agoAvis Budget Group Shareholder Alert: ClaimsFiler Reminds Investors With Losses In Excess Of $100,000 Of Lead Plaintiff Deadline In Class Action Lawsuit Against Avis Budget Group, Inc. - CARprnewswire.com·2d agoCAR Deadline: CAR Investors with Losses in Excess of $100K Have Opportunity to Lead Avis Budget Group, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit Against Pentwater Capital Management LPprnewswire.com·3d agoKaplan Fox Reminds Investors of Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) to a Securities Class Action Deadline - Contact the Firm Before September 29, 2026newsfilecorp.com·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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