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BFBF-B

Brown-Forman Corporation

$BF-B·$12B·Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries·Consumer Defensive
$26.41+3.2%YTD+1.1%1Y-6.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
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Price updated 10h ago·X counts updated 9h ago
BFBF-B
$BF-BBrown-Forman Corporation
$26.41+3.24%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $BF-B, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-21

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Brown-Forman flat YTD — Jack Daniel's owner with CEO retirement announcement reports Q1 August 27.

Brown-Forman is the premium spirits leader (Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester whiskies plus other premium brands) — a name that has quietly compounded on the specific premium-spirits thesis despite consumer softness.

  • Growth is modest: Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of $912M was up 2.0% YoY — the pattern showing premium-spirits demand is compressed but stable in the mid-single-digit range.
  • The July 13 CEO Lawson Whiting retirement announcement (nearly 30 years with the company) is the specific governance-plus-strategic transition signal supporting the multi-quarter succession thesis.
  • At $26.41 and +1% YTD, the tape reflects specific consolidation setup where fundamentals-vs-tape divergence is real — the August 27 Q1 fiscal 2027 print is the specific test.
  • The FY27 EPS $0.37 Q1 consensus supports the specific full-year trajectory — needed for the premium-spirits cycle stabilization.

Path forward is the August 27 Q1 fiscal 2027 print — need FY27 EPS $0.37 Q1 consensus holding plus explicit Jack Daniel's plus premium-portfolio commentary. What extends the move: a beat-plus-raise plus explicit CEO succession clarity; what invalidates: any premium-spirits volume deceleration or a walked-back FY27 EPS trajectory.

What to watch: August 27 Q1 fiscal 2027 print — FY27 EPS $0.37 Q1 holding and Jack Daniel's plus premium-portfolio commentary matter most. A beat-plus-raise plus explicit CEO succession clarity is the specific extension catalyst.

On the calendar: 2026-08-27 — Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings

sentiment missing

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Produces and markets premium American whiskey (Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve) and other spirits globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BF-B.

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Q4 earnings showed sales beat on pricing and innovation despite estimate miss, confirming Jack Daniel's and Woodford Reserve pricing power is intact even as..

What this means for $BF-B

Direct beneficiary — Produces and markets premium American whiskey (Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve) and other spirits globally; core revenue tied directly to the primary demand driver in beverages - wineries & distilleries.

Top industry ETF

$XLPConsumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
+9.2%YTD
+4.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
60.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 4, 2026$0.12$0.31-61.2%
Q4 2025Mar 4, 2026$0.58$0.47+24.5%
Q2 2025Aug 28, 2025$0.36$0.47-24.3%
Q1 2025Jun 3, 2025$0.31$0.34-8.8%
Next earningsThu, Aug 27·consensus EPS $0.37

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$912.0M+2.0%62.6%23.7%$0.12$265.0M
Q3 FY26$1.1B+2.0%60.6%32.5%$0.57$392.0M
Q2 FY26$1.0B-5.4%59.4%29.8%$0.47$107.0M
Q1 FY26$924.0M-2.8%59.7%29.4%$0.36$129.0M

Forward consensus

6-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.9B$3.8B – $3.9B$1.75$1.69 – $1.8017
FY27$3.9B$3.9B – $4.0B$1.70$1.62 – $1.7617
FY28$4.0B$3.9B – $4.1B$1.71$1.59 – $1.8316
FY29$4.1B$4.0B – $4.2B$1.77$1.71 – $1.8214
FY30$4.4B$4.3B – $4.4B$1.93$1.87 – $1.9814
FY31$4.8B$4.7B – $4.9B$0.00$0.00 – $0.0013

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.32%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-6.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 450.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellFeb 12Lawson E WhitingCEO25.9K sh$804K
+ 23 other (11 awards · 11 inkinds · 1 exempt) in window

See when $BF-B insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 138-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Brown-Forman Corporation President and CEO Lawson Whiting announced his retirement on July 13, 2026 after nearly 30 years with the company, effective upon the appointment of a successor. The Board has initiated a formal CEO search process; no successor has been identified. Whiting's departure is a significant leadership event for the spirits company — Brown-Forman has faced challenging tariff and demand headwinds, and management continuity will be closely watched until a successor is named.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 3SC 13D/A
AI summary

With filed Amendment No. 2 to Schedule 13D disclosing updated beneficial ownership in BF-B (BF-B). The filing covers approximately 101,601,480 shares of BF-B. The position is held for potential M&A activity. Schedule 13D amendments are required when a 5%-or-greater holder's ownership, intent, or plans change materially, providing transparency into concentrated positions that could influence corporate governance or trigger M&A activity.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 288-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

BF-B (BF-B) disclosed securities offering activity under 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD). The offering involves proceeds of approximately $0. The disclosure covers pricing or completion of a note or securities offering, typically cross-referencing concurrent prospectus filings. Offering announcements are material because they reveal changes to the company's capital structure, dilution, and funding strategy.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 313
8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 278-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeMar 168-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationMar 9S-3ASR
+ 13 other (4 13Gs · 2 11-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 25-NSE) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Brown-Forman Announces President & CEO Lawson Whiting to Retirebusinesswire.com·8d agoCEO of Jack Daniel's Maker Brown-Forman to Step Downwsj.com·8d agoInvestors Hoped for a World Cup Bump. Instead, They Got a Slump.barrons.com·10d agoBrown-Forman's Brand Strength and Premiumization Efforts Fuel Growthzacks.com·25d agoBF.B Faces Flat Sales as Emerging Markets Offset Macro Strain Aheadzacks.com·26d ago
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $BF-B on X in the last 7 days.

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